GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$13.96
0.19 (1.38%)
â˛
5d:
-1.9%
30d:
-3.92%
90d:
+0.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GNE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GNE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.97
Based on -14.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $13.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.89 to $14.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.39, while resistance sits at $14.99.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (73th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.39, while resistance sits at $14.99.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Implied Volatility is high (73th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$13.89 -
$14.53
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
73th percentile
(ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 73th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.89 -
$14.53
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.30
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.39
Resistance Level
$14.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.93
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 25.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.86
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.77
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$13.67
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â25)
$13.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: -33.3%)
$10.18
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -33.3%)
$9.12
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -33.3%)
$7.76
(-44%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$31.18
(+119%)
Analyst growth 93.1%, PE expands to 55.7
Base Case
$28.35
(+99%)
Market implied 93.1%, PE stable at 50.6
Bear Case
$9.98
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.22
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
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