GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$13.77
-0.05 (-0.36%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.97
Based on -14.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $13.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.81 to $14.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+16.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.81 -
$14.40
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
40th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 40th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.81 -
$14.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.95
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.51
Resistance Level
$14.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.59
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.0%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.41
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.24
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$13.78
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: -33.3%)
$10.04
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -33.3%)
$9.10
(-34%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -33.3%)
$7.74
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.29
Bull Case
$31.18
(+127%)
Analyst growth 93.1%, PE expands to 55.7
Base Case
$28.35
(+106%)
Market implied 93.1%, PE stable at 50.6
Bear Case
$9.98
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 25.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.34
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GNE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GNE price and gamma walls.
