GPRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRE - Green Plains, Inc.
$16.30
-0.59 (-3.52%)
▼
5d:
+6.09%
30d:
+18.68%
90d:
+64.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPRE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.42
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.30
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRE is currently trading at $16.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.26 to $16.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (54.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $17.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $17.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.44. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$14.26 -
$16.33
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.5% above Wall St target ($14.44)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.26 -
$16.33
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.12
Resistance Level
$17.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.64
Wall Street Target
$14.44
(-14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.5%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 54.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→55)
$28.39
(+68%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 3.4%)
$18.66
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 3.4%)
$17.68
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 3.4%)
$15.03
(-11%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.6 to 54.5
Stabilization Target:
$38.95
(+130.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+130.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GPRE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPRE price and gamma walls.
