GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$8.73
-0.77 (-8.11%)
▼
5d:
-7.72%
30d:
+5.56%
90d:
+18.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPRK is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GPRK is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.41
16.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $8.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.43 to $9.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.58 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.58 (+32.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.43 -
$9.60
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.6% below Wall St target ($11.58)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.43 -
$9.60
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.82
Resistance Level
$10.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.69
Wall Street Target
$11.58
(+32.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
103.5%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.76
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$8.80
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$8.84
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 59.1%)
$98.44
(+1028%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 59.1%)
$29.46
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 59.1%)
$25.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$14.65
(+54%)
Analyst growth 35.9%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$13.32
(+40%)
Market implied 35.9%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$6.66
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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