GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$8.48
-0.07 (-0.82%)
βΌ
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $8.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.11 to $8.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (5.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.40, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+33.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.40, while resistance sits at $9.09.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.32 (+33.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$7.11 -
$8.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($11.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.4% growth with -21.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.11 -
$8.05
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.40
Resistance Level
$9.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.83
Wall Street Target
$11.32
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.5%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 5.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.36
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$10.34
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$11.41
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β6)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 64.1%)
$81.53
(+862%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 64.1%)
$28.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 64.1%)
$21.21
(+150%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.66
Bull Case
$15.22
(+80%)
Analyst growth 64.1%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$13.84
(+63%)
Market implied 64.1%, PE stable at 12.8
Bear Case
$5.73
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 7:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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