GSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSM - Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares
$4.75
-0.13 (-2.66%)
βΌ
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: GSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: GSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSM is currently trading at $4.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.70 to $5.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.3) is in line with its historical norms (40.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$4.70 -
$5.08
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -28.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.70 -
$5.08
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.72
Resistance Level
$5.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.30
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.4%
Profit Margin
-8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
41.3 vs 40.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$4.80
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$4.82
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41β41)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GSM price and gamma walls.