Is GSM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, GSM is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: GSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of GSM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for GSM to be between $4.09 and $5.00. The current price is $3.98.

What is the analyst price target for GSM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for GSM is $6.00. This implies a potential upside of 50.8% from current levels.

GSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GSM - Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares

Metal Mining

$3.98

-0.14 (-3.40%) ▼

5d: -5.24%

30d: -20.56%

90d: -13.85%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your GSM Gains

Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

GSM is down 5.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $6 2026-06-18 with 2,109 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$34.08

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$21.16

81.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GSM is currently trading at $3.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.09 to $5.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 42.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $3.69, while resistance sits at $4.57. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $4.09 - $5.00

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($6.00)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.09 - $5.00

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.69

Resistance Level $4.57

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.69

Wall Street Target $6.00 (+50.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.4%

Profit Margin -12.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -42.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 5.7 vs 29.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -42.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $3.58 (-10%)

2-Year Target $3.22 (-19%)

3-Year Target $2.90 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→30) $15.05 (+278%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 324.2%) $52.80 (+1227%)

Base: (SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 324.2%) $13.43 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 4.8, Growth: 324.2%) $11.42 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 29.5

Stabilization Target: $20.65 (+418.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +418.8%

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Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM

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Advanced GSM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GSM price and gamma walls.

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Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares

Metal Mining

About

Ferroglobe PLC provides silicon-based alloys and specialty metals. It produces silicon metal and silicon and manganese-based alloy, serving customers in the specialty chemical, aluminum, solar, steel, and ductile iron foundry industries. The company's business segments include North America- Silicon, North America -Silicon Alloys; Europe Manganese; Europe Silicon Metals; Europe -Silicon Alloys, South Africa Silicon Metals, South Africa-Silicon Alloys, and Other segments The primary raw materials company uses to produce its electrometallurgy products includes its coal and quartz mining operations and its silicon metal and ferroalloy production.

Exchange: XNAS

Market Cap: $841,682,678

Employees: 3,283

Listed Since: 2009-07-30

Website: Visit

CIK: 0001639877

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