GSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GSM - Ferroglobe PLC Ordinary Shares

Metal Mining
$4.75
-0.13 (-2.66%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: GSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GSM is currently trading at $4.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.70 to $5.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.3) is in line with its historical norms (40.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $4.70 - $5.08
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($6.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -28.1% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.70 - $5.08
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.72
Resistance Level $5.30
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.30
Wall Street Target $6.00 (+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -28.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.4%
Profit Margin -8.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.5% premium
PE vs Historical 41.3 vs 40.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.77 (+1%)
2-Year Target $4.80 (+1%)
3-Year Target $4.82 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41β†’41) PE COMPRESSION $4.75 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GSM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GSM price and gamma walls.

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