HCKT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HCKT - Hackett Group Inc (The).
$12.85
0.47 (3.80%)
▲
5d:
-4.32%
30d:
-5.93%
90d:
-35.65%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HCKT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 65% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HCKT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.1% annual earnings decline despite 65% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.18
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.39
10.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HCKT is currently trading at $12.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.99 to $14.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 64.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.19, while resistance sits at $14.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+84.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HCKT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $12.19, while resistance sits at $14.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+84.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$12.99 -
$14.21
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
51th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 51th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 84.2% below Wall St target ($23.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.99 -
$14.21
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.96
(7.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.19
Resistance Level
$14.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.26
Wall Street Target
$23.67
(+84.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
64.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.56
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$12.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.1%)
$48.54
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.1%)
$15.77
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 7.1%)
$13.40
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$29.00
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.5
Base Case
$26.36
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$8.96
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$17.70
(+37.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HCKT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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