HE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$15.32
-0.55 (-3.47%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 27, 2026
27d
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1 traders called HE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HE trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HE trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.40
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $15.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.54 to $15.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $16.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.74, while resistance sits at $16.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$12.54 -
$15.06
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 24.4% above Wall St target ($12.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with -5.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.54 -
$15.06
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.74
Resistance Level
$16.67
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.25
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(-24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 13.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.82
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$17.83
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$18.90
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 4.3%)
$24.69
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 4.3%)
$17.99
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 4.3%)
$15.17
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.17
Bull Case
$8.47
(-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$7.70
(-52%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$10.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
