HE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$14.85
0.18 (1.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.12%
30d:
-4.13%
90d:
+22.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 08, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HE is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 1,989 OI. Call ratio: 78% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.69
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $14.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.54 to $15.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$14.54 -
$15.83
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($13.58)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.54 -
$15.83
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.82
Resistance Level
$15.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$13.58
(-7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.10
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$13.55
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.02
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$14.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$31.60
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$17.95
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$15.26
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case
$25.12
(+74%)
Analyst growth 62.4%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$22.83
(+59%)
Market implied 62.4%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$9.56
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$16.60
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
