HHH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HHH - Howard Hughes Holdings Inc.
$81.66
-1.45 (-1.74%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HHH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HHH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.65
18.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HHH is currently trading at $81.66, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.34 to $82.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HHH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HHH is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.33 (+15.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$79.34 -
$82.62
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$79.34 -
$82.62
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.45
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.61
Resistance Level
$84.14
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.96
Wall Street Target
$96.33
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.0%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.44
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$83.78
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$84.11
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 72.9%)
$329.91
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 72.9%)
$280.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 72.9%)
$238.42
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$71.70
(-12%)
Analyst growth -18.8%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$65.18
(-20%)
Market implied -18.8%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$54.60
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HHH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Williams
SELL
1100 shares
2025-09-26
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