HIW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HIW - Highwoods Properties Inc.
$25.85
-0.04 (-0.15%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HIW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HIW is currently trading at $25.85, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.73 to $27.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 46.2) is in line with its historical norms (47.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HIW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$25.73 -
$27.05
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($29.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.73 -
$27.05
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.60
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$25.28
Resistance Level
$27.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.23
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.2 vs 47.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.66
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.43
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$25.20
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→47)
$25.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.2, Growth: 0.0%)
$25.89
(+0%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 0.0%)
$12.49
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 0.0%)
$10.61
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$14.01
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$12.73
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$17.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.2 to 47.4
Stabilization Target:
$26.54
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David John Hartzell
SELL
4300 shares
2025-09-17
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Advanced HIW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HIW price and gamma walls.