HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$17.47
-0.46 (-2.59%)
▼
5d:
-1.94%
30d:
-29.89%
90d:
-13.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
HL is down 12.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 34,277 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
Get Alerted When HL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.02
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.82
41.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $17.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.25 to $23.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (23.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $20.29.
Market Sentiment: HL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.40 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.25, while resistance sits at $20.29.
Market Sentiment: HL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.40 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.25 -
$23.23
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($26.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.25 -
$23.23
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.25
Resistance Level
$20.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.96
Wall Street Target
$26.40
(+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
79.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 23.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.07
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→23)
$21.72
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.2%)
$45.17
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$28.15
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 16.2%)
$23.93
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$37.93
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$34.48
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$11.72
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 23.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.80
(+66.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+66.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kurt Allen
SELL
52219 shares
2026-01-06
David C Sienko
SELL
207553 shares
2025-12-17
Russell Douglas Lawlar
SELL
148372 shares
2025-11-10
Top Rated Other Precious Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Precious Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TFPM
Triple Flag Precious Met… |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$44 | 47 HOLD |
|
ITRG
Integra Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$7 | 47 HOLD |
|
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp. Common… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$7 | 47 HOLD |
|
PPTA
Perpetua Resources Corp |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$38 | 45 HOLD |
|
MUX
McEwen Mining Inc. |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$32 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced HL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
