HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$22.52
-3.80 (-14.44%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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21 traders called HL this week
96% bullish • 1 bearish
96% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HL is down 29.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HL is down 29.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.46
26.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $22.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.84 to $27.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5684.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$19.84 -
$27.79
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($26.25)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -29.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.84 -
$27.79
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.13
Resistance Level
$34.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.12
Wall Street Target
$26.25
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
67.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5684.8%
Profit Margin
16.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.1 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.19
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$26.06
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$25.93
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$26.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.1, Growth: 149.5%)
$88.83
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 149.5%)
$75.83
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 149.5%)
$64.45
(+145%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 39.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.67
Bull Case
$31.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.3
Base Case
$26.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.4
Bear Case
$20.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$26.70
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stuart Maurice Absolom
SELL
14472 shares
2025-09-12
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Advanced HL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
