HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$9.37
-0.52 (-5.26%)
▼
5d:
-5.54%
30d:
+1.74%
90d:
+48.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.67
40.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $9.37, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.99 to $9.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$8.99 -
$9.88
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($11.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.99 -
$9.88
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.38
Resistance Level
$10.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.11
Wall Street Target
$11.50
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 20.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.83
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$9.45
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 116.3%)
$46.77
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 116.3%)
$31.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 116.3%)
$26.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$21.10
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$19.18
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.7
Bear Case
$6.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$12.96
(+38.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Andrew Sparks
SELL
40000 shares
2025-11-03
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