HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$9.80
-0.30 (-3.02%)
▼
5d:
-0.05%
30d:
+6.58%
90d:
+56.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.82
38.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $9.79, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.94 to $9.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.12, while resistance sits at $10.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.12, while resistance sits at $10.30. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.50 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$8.94 -
$9.84
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.94 -
$9.84
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.13
Resistance Level
$10.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.29
Wall Street Target
$11.50
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 21.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.26
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$8.49
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$7.79
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→21)
$10.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 116.3%)
$46.87
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 116.3%)
$34.09
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 116.3%)
$28.97
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.21
Bull Case
$21.10
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$19.18
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.7
Bear Case
$6.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 21.1
Stabilization Target:
$13.08
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Andrew Sparks
SELL
40000 shares
2025-11-03
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