HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$7.94
0.02 (0.25%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.19
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $7.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.48 to $7.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (21.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$6.48 -
$7.54
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($10.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with 10.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.48 -
$7.54
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.93
Resistance Level
$8.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.97
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 21.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.38
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$8.84
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$9.32
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 89.3%)
$26.80
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 89.3%)
$23.93
(+201%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 89.3%)
$20.34
(+156%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.28
Bull Case
$9.44
(+19%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$8.59
(+8%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$5.14
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced HLX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLX price and gamma walls.
