HMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HMC - Honda Motor Co., Ltd. American Depositary Share, each representing three (3) shares of Common Stock
$24.31
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-14.1%
90d:
-17.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HMC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HMC is currently trading at $24.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.47 to $28.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+26.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$24.47 -
$28.86
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($30.64)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.8% growth with -3.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.47 -
$28.86
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.62
Resistance Level
$25.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.14
Wall Street Target
$30.64
(+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.42
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$30.93
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$34.89
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.16
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.34
Bull Case
$20.97
(-15%)
Analyst growth -21.0%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$19.07
(-23%)
Market implied -21.0%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$16.40
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 9:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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