HNVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HNVR - Hanover Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$23.41
0.31 (1.34%)
▲
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
+1.3%
90d:
+13.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
1d
Get Alerted When HNVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HNVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HNVR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.19
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HNVR is currently trading at $23.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.83 to $23.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HNVR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.83 -
$23.76
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -29.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.83 -
$23.76
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.85
Resistance Level
$24.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.94
Wall Street Target
$24.33
(+3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.1%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.48
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$23.55
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.62
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.52
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 26.6%)
$106.59
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 26.6%)
$47.52
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 26.6%)
$40.39
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case
$40.44
(+75%)
Analyst growth 54.9%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$36.77
(+59%)
Market implied 54.9%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$16.14
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 5:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HNVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$230 | 66 BUY |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$103 | 57 HOLD |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$56 | 66 BUY |
|
FHN
First Horizon National C… |
BUY
16 analysts |
$27 | 63 BUY |
|
SSB
SouthState Corporation |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$119 | 60 HOLD |
