HOPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOPE - Hope Bancorp, Inc.
$11.98
-0.01 (-0.08%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HOPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HOPE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.65
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.69
18.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOPE is currently trading at $11.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.17 to $11.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $12.36.
Market Sentiment: HOPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOPE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.40, while resistance sits at $12.36.
Market Sentiment: HOPE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.17 -
$11.90
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HOPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.88)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.17 -
$11.90
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.33
(11.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.40
Resistance Level
$12.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.67
Wall Street Target
$12.88
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.9%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.64
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.32
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.00
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$11.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.8%)
$55.72
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 21.8%)
$21.65
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 21.8%)
$18.40
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$25.87
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$23.52
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$8.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$13.00
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas Stenger
SELL
1602 shares
2025-09-15
Angelee Harris
SELL
3500 shares
2025-09-10
Thomas Stenger
SELL
2000 shares
2025-08-06
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Advanced HOPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HOPE price and gamma walls.
