HQI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HQI - HireQuest, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$9.79
-0.15 (-1.51%) ▼
5d: -6.58%
30d: -16.04%
90d: -5.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HQI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.16
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.44
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HQI is currently trading at $9.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.16 to $11.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HQI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: HQI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+40.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $10.16 - $11.60
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 40.8% below Wall St target ($14.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.16 - $11.60
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.65
Resistance Level $11.22
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.58
Wall Street Target $14.00 (+40.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.4%
Profit Margin 21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.6 vs 19.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.79 (-2%)
2-Year Target $9.64 (-3%)
3-Year Target $9.50 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→19) $9.92 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: -17.7%) $8.74 (+-12%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: -17.7%) $7.25 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 15.8, Growth: -17.7%) $6.16 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case $11.12 (+6%)
Analyst growth 2.9%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $10.11 (-4%)
Market implied 2.9%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case $6.68 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 19.4
Stabilization Target: $10.38 (+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Richard Hermanns BUY 9704 shares 2025-12-30
Richard Hermanns BUY 422 shares 2025-12-24
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