HWC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HWC - Hancock Whitney Corporation Common Stock
$68.80
0.02 (0.03%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HWC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HWC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.06
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HWC is currently trading at $68.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.43 to $68.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.69, while resistance sits at $71.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.83 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.69, while resistance sits at $71.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.83 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$65.43 -
$68.51
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HWC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.83)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.43 -
$68.51
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.05
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.69
Resistance Level
$71.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.19
Wall Street Target
$76.83
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Profit Margin
33.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$66.87
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$65.93
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$68.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.8%)
$183.23
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 6.8%)
$83.71
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 6.8%)
$71.16
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.67
Bull Case
$88.13
(+28%)
Analyst growth 19.1%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$80.12
(+16%)
Market implied 19.1%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$45.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$71.56
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HWC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael M Achary
SELL
9894 shares
2025-10-17
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Advanced HWC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HWC price and gamma walls.
