IBN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IBN - ICICI Bank Limited

Commercial Banks, NEC
$29.29
-0.48 (-1.61%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 26, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IBN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.02
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.44
3.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IBN is currently trading at $29.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.43 to $30.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IBN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: IBN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.12 (+31.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $29.43 - $30.85
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($39.12)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.43 - $30.85
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.82
Resistance Level $31.15
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.73
Wall Street Target $39.13 (+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.7%
Profit Margin 27.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.7 vs 16.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.68 (0%)
2-Year Target $29.59 (-1%)
3-Year Target $29.50 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) $29.81 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.7%) $63.11 (+112%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 16.7%) $47.33 (+59%)
Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: 16.7%) $40.23 (+35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case $36.20 (+24%)
Analyst growth 11.2%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case $32.91 (+12%)
Market implied 11.2%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case $20.11 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 16.9
Stabilization Target: $30.08 (+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced IBN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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