IDXX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IDXX - Idexx Laboratories Inc

IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES
$558.32
-14.97 (-2.61%) ▼
5d: -3.28%
30d: -15.5%
90d: -18.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

IDXX is down 4.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $820 2026-04-17 with 56 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IDXX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.8% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$614.86
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$381.78
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IDXX is currently trading at $558.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $574.82 to $638.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.1) compared to its historical average (43.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IDXX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $562.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: IDXX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $750.23 (+34.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $574.82 - $638.54
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.4% below Wall St target ($750.23)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $574.82 - $638.54
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$27.53 (4.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $562.09
Resistance Level $599.97
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.06
Wall Street Target $750.23 (+34.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Profit Margin 24.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.1 vs 43.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $514.77 (-8%)
2-Year Target $474.62 (-15%)
3-Year Target $437.60 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→43) $557.58 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.1, Growth: 13.0%) $804.59 (+44%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.0%) $529.13 (-5%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.0%) $449.76 (-19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.10
Bull Case $794.54 (+37%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 48.5
Base Case $722.31 (+25%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 44.1
Bear Case $392.54 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.1 to 43.4
Stabilization Target: $711.40 (+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +27.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nimrata Hunt SELL 1758 shares 2026-03-03
Jonathan Jay Mazelsky SELL 23326 shares 2026-02-26
Nimrata Hunt SELL 2693 shares 2026-02-26

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Advanced IDXX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IDXX price and gamma walls.

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