INFY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INFY - Infosys Limited American Depositary Shares
$17.58
-0.17 (-0.96%)
▼
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
-2.55%
90d:
+4.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INFY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INFY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.74
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INFY is currently trading at $17.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.80 to $18.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INFY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$17.80 -
$18.70
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.80 -
$18.70
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.50
Resistance Level
$18.88
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.63
Wall Street Target
$19.29
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.16
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$16.95
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$17.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$24.35
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.6%)
$22.53
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 8.6%)
$19.15
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$21.83
(+24%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$19.85
(+13%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$12.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 21.4
Stabilization Target:
$18.24
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INFY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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