INGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGM - Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
$21.12
-0.23 (-1.08%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.32
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGM is currently trading at $21.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.84 to $21.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $20.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$20.84 -
$21.76
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.84 -
$21.76
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.25
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.65
Resistance Level
$21.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.60
Wall Street Target
$24.92
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Profit Margin
0.6%
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.12
(0%)
2-Year Target
$21.12
(0%)
3-Year Target
$21.12
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$101.59
(+381%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$30.08
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$25.57
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.29
Bull Case
$46.42
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$42.20
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$14.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Advanced INGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INGM price and gamma walls.
