INGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGM - Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
$23.31
0.97 (4.34%)
▲
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
+9.18%
90d:
+5.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.53
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGM is currently trading at $23.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.83 to $23.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: INGM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.67 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$20.83 -
$23.68
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.83 -
$23.68
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.40
Resistance Level
$23.12
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.51
Wall Street Target
$25.67
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.6%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 6.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.29
(0%)
2-Year Target
$23.26
(0%)
3-Year Target
$23.24
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$110.15
(+373%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 11.2%)
$32.07
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 11.2%)
$27.26
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$48.69
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$44.26
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$15.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 AM
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