ITUB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITUB - Itau Unibanco Holding S.A. American Depositary Shares
$8.79
0.09 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
+21.58%
90d:
+19.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
0d
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1 traders called ITUB this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ITUB is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.35
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.67
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITUB is currently trading at $8.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.16 to $8.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.63, while resistance sits at $9.11.
Market Sentiment: ITUB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.65. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITUB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.63, while resistance sits at $9.11.
Market Sentiment: ITUB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.65. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$7.16 -
$8.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.0% above Wall St target ($7.65)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.16 -
$8.43
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.63
Resistance Level
$9.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.53
Wall Street Target
$7.65
(-13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
32.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.05
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$9.33
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$9.61
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.2%)
$27.70
(+215%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 14.2%)
$13.08
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 14.2%)
$11.12
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$10.51
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 12.6
Base Case
$9.56
(+9%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$5.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITUB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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