JMSB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JMSB - John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$20.64
0.01 (0.05%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JMSB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JMSB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.03
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JMSB is currently trading at $20.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.65 to $20.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JMSB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.51, while resistance sits at $21.29.
Market Sentiment: JMSB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JMSB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.51, while resistance sits at $21.29.
Market Sentiment: JMSB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.65 -
$20.51
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JMSB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.65 -
$20.51
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.51
Resistance Level
$21.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$23.00
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.2%
Profit Margin
34.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.05
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$19.49
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$18.95
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$20.73
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.9%)
$61.81
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.9%)
$28.88
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$24.55
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$31.11
(+51%)
Analyst growth 41.4%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$28.29
(+37%)
Market implied 41.4%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$13.60
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$22.57
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JMSB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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