JPM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JPM - JPMorgan Chase & Co.
$305.89
-0.53 (-0.17%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 14, 2026
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7 traders called JPM this week
86% bullish • 1 bearish
86% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JPM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JPM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$441.39
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$274.07
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JPM is currently trading at $305.89, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $304.41 to $328.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $296.51, while resistance sits at $317.21.
Market Sentiment: JPM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.48 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JPM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $296.51, while resistance sits at $317.21.
Market Sentiment: JPM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $342.48 (+11.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$304.41 -
$328.22
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
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Holding JPM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($342.48)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$304.41 -
$328.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$296.51
Resistance Level
$317.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.28
Wall Street Target
$342.48
(+11.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$297.84
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$289.50
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$281.39
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$307.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$638.03
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$379.87
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$322.89
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $20.03
Bull Case
$380.63
(+24%)
Analyst growth 15.2%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$346.02
(+13%)
Market implied 15.2%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$204.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$334.65
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JPM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Linda Bammann
SELL
9500 shares
2025-09-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-21
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Advanced JPM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JPM price and gamma walls.
