RY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RY - Royal Bank of Canada
$181.68
0.33 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+1.19%
30d:
+6.38%
90d:
+6.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RY is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.49
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RY is currently trading at $181.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.38 to $180.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $182.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $182.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$167.38 -
$180.32
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($175.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$167.38 -
$180.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.11
Resistance Level
$182.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.45
Wall Street Target
$175.00
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Profit Margin
33.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$184.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$187.91
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$191.10
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$181.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$501.11
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$238.59
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$202.80
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.70
Bull Case
$324.25
(+79%)
Analyst growth 62.5%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$294.77
(+62%)
Market implied 62.5%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$123.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 09, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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