KGEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGEI - Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common Stock
$4.03
0.04 (1.00%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KGEI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.39
Based on -8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGEI is currently trading at $4.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.57 to $4.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGEI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KGEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+75.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGEI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KGEI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+75.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$3.57 -
$4.02
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.4% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 16.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.57 -
$4.02
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.56
Resistance Level
$4.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.08
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+75.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.6%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$4.18
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$4.28
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.98
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -20.0%)
$5.85
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: -20.0%)
$2.91
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -20.0%)
$2.47
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$3.21
(-20%)
Analyst growth -26.5%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$2.92
(-27%)
Market implied -26.5%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$2.70
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGEI showing a specific setup today?
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Advanced KGEI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KGEI price and gamma walls.
