KRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRC - Kilroy Realty Corp.
$28.45
0.37 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-1.59%
30d:
-8.76%
90d:
-23.87%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KRC trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.79
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRC is currently trading at $28.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.26 to $30.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 51.7) compared to its historical average (71.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.36, while resistance sits at $29.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.29 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $27.36, while resistance sits at $29.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.29 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$28.26 -
$30.52
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($36.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.26 -
$30.52
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.36
Resistance Level
$29.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
51.74
Wall Street Target
$36.29
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.0%
Profit Margin
24.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
51.7 vs 71.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$23.04
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$20.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→71)
$28.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 51.7, Growth: 6.6%)
$34.47
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 6.6%)
$13.71
(-52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 6.6%)
$11.65
(-59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$15.52
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$14.11
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$19.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 51.7 to 71.1
Stabilization Target:
$39.10
(+37.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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