KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$13.43
-0.01 (-0.07%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.5% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.26
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.13
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $13.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.61 to $12.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KRP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.25 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $11.61 - $12.86
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.9%

Protect Your Profits

KRP is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($16.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.5% growth with 4.0% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.61 - $12.86
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.46 (3.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.04
Resistance Level $13.63
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.58
Wall Street Target $16.25 (+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.2%
Profit Margin 11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.5% premium
PE vs Historical 23.6 vs 19.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.45 (+8%)
2-Year Target $15.53 (+16%)
3-Year Target $16.70 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→19) PE COMPRESSION $13.45 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.6, Growth: -14.1%) $9.80 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -14.1%) $9.27 (-31%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -14.1%) $7.88 (-41%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger SELL 3600 shares 2025-09-04

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Advanced KRP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KRP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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