KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$14.76
0.61 (4.31%) β–²
5d: +0.89%
30d: +1.44%
90d: +25.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: KRP trades at premium valuation expecting 5.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.89
Based on -6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.52
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $14.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.29 to $14.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+16.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $14.29 - $14.69
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 56.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with 8.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $14.29 - $14.69
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.02
Resistance Level $15.05
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.33
Wall Street Target $17.25 (+16.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.2%
Profit Margin 28.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.0% premium
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 21.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.50 (+5%)
2-Year Target $16.27 (+10%)
3-Year Target $17.09 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24β†’21) PE COMPRESSION $14.75 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.3, Growth: -17.3%) $10.76 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: -17.3%) $9.10 (-38%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: -17.3%) $7.73 (-48%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case $15.55 (+7%)
Analyst growth -2.1%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case $14.14 (-3%)
Market implied -2.1%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case $9.83 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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