LC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LC - LendingClub Corporation

PERSONAL CREDIT INSTITUTIONS
$16.91
0.47 (2.86%) ▲
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LC is down 19.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.33
24.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LC is currently trading at $16.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.77 to $20.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.6) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 186.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.20, while resistance sits at $21.67.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.20 (+47.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $18.77 - $20.95
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($24.20)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -19.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $18.77 - $20.95
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.20
Resistance Level $21.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.59
Wall Street Target $24.20 (+47.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 186.8%
Profit Margin 8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 11.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $15.83 (-4%)
2-Year Target $15.25 (-7%)
3-Year Target $14.68 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $16.49 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 35.8%) $86.67 (+427%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 35.8%) $41.16 (+150%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 35.8%) $34.99 (+113%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.89
Bull Case $41.80 (+154%)
Analyst growth 82.6%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case $38.00 (+131%)
Market implied 82.6%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case $14.15 (-14%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target: $18.47 (+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Sanborn SELL 30000 shares 2025-10-23
Andrew Labenne SELL 20903 shares 2025-09-15
Scott Sanborn SELL 30000 shares 2025-09-15

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Advanced LC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LC price and gamma walls.

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