MATX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATX - Matsons, Inc.
$160.30
-0.97 (-0.60%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MATX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.28
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.41
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATX is currently trading at $160.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.83 to $153.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $162.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $162.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MATX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $190.00 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$124.83 -
$153.96
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
MATX is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($190.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.0% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$124.83 -
$153.96
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.63
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.08
Resistance Level
$162.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.43
Wall Street Target
$190.00
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.0%
Profit Margin
12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 11.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.33
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$177.80
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$186.69
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$161.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.7%)
$210.58
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: -7.7%)
$126.86
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: -7.7%)
$107.83
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.08
Bull Case
$160.49
(+0%)
Analyst growth -8.2%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$145.90
(-9%)
Market implied -8.2%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$108.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher A Scott
SELL
1044 shares
2025-08-07
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Advanced MATX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MATX price and gamma walls.
