MCBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCBS - METROCITY BANKSHARES INC
$28.17
0.76 (2.77%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MCBS is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.55
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.55
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCBS is currently trading at $28.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.53 to $27.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCBS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCBS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $28.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.53 -
$27.74
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
23th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.53 -
$27.74
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.46
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.63
Resistance Level
$28.92
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.24
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
45.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.85
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$29.20
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$94.85
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$39.28
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$33.39
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$34.53
(+23%)
Analyst growth 17.8%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$31.39
(+11%)
Market implied 17.8%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$18.13
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCBS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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