MDLZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MDLZ - Mondelez International, Inc. Class A
$58.25
-0.02 (-0.03%)
▼
5d:
+2.43%
30d:
-5.41%
90d:
+6.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MDLZ is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-04-17 with 840 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MDLZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.07
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MDLZ is currently trading at $58.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.24 to $59.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.46 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MDLZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MDLZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.46 (+14.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$56.24 -
$59.78
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($66.46)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$56.24 -
$59.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.83
Resistance Level
$59.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.23
Wall Street Target
$66.46
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.4%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.84
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$57.44
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$57.04
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→18)
$58.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.4%)
$104.44
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 11.4%)
$80.54
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 11.4%)
$68.46
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$110.89
(+95%)
Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$100.81
(+77%)
Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$38.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$59.48
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MDLZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gustavo Carlos Valle
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-13
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Advanced MDLZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MDLZ price and gamma walls.
