MEOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEOH - Methanex Corp
$47.72
-1.23 (-2.51%)
ā¼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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1 traders called MEOH this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MEOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: MEOH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.10
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEOH is currently trading at $47.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.72 to $48.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.78, while resistance sits at $49.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $44.78, while resistance sits at $49.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$41.72 -
$48.16
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.11)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.72 -
$48.16
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Ā±$2.65
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.78
Resistance Level
$49.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.48
Wall Street Target
$50.11
(+2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.64
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$54.48
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$57.48
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14ā12)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$108.12
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 12.8%)
$70.22
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$59.64
(+22%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.98
Bull Case
$59.61
(+25%)
Analyst growth 13.4%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$54.20
(+14%)
Market implied 13.4%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$32.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MEOH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MEOH price and gamma walls.
