MEOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MEOH - Methanex Corp
$62.21
-3.01 (-4.62%)
ā¼
5d:
+15.5%
30d:
+23.11%
90d:
+54.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š MIXED SIGNALS: MEOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
š MIXED SIGNALS: MEOH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.86
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MEOH is currently trading at $62.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.13 to $58.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.58, while resistance sits at $66.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MEOH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.58, while resistance sits at $66.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MEOH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$49.13 -
$58.02
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($59.44)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.0% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$49.13 -
$58.02
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.58
Resistance Level
$66.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.35
Wall Street Target
$59.44
(-8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.0% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.09
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$77.49
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$84.46
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17ā13)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$142.89
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$110.70
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$85.48
(+31%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.21
Bull Case
$65.04
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$53.86
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$41.20
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MEOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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