OLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OLN - Olin Corp.
$26.78
-0.96 (-3.46%)
▼
5d:
-0.22%
30d:
-4.29%
90d:
+3.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
OLN is down 3.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 1,610 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OLN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: OLN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.16
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OLN is currently trading at $26.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.84 to $28.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.7) is in line with its historical norms (31.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$26.84 -
$28.89
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.57)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.84 -
$28.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.54
Resistance Level
$29.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.74
Wall Street Target
$28.57
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.5%
Profit Margin
-2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.7 vs 31.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$25.35
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$24.67
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→31)
$26.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.7, Growth: 201.8%)
$90.38
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 201.8%)
$69.40
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 201.8%)
$58.99
(+120%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.7 to 31.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.07
(+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angela M Castle
SELL
2379 shares
2026-02-24
R Nichole Sumner
SELL
4750 shares
2026-02-03
Todd A Slater
SELL
92250 shares
2026-02-03
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Advanced OLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OLN price and gamma walls.
