MERC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MERC - Mercer International Inc

PULP MILLS
$2.02
-0.01 (-0.74%) β–Ό
5d: -15.34%
30d: +1.77%
90d: -1.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MERC is down 15.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MERC is currently trading at $2.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.06 to $2.57.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MERC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $2.06 - $2.57
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($2.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -15.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.06 - $2.57
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$0.21 (10.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.01
Resistance Level $2.79
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -1.32
Wall Street Target $2.00 (-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -72.9%
Profit Margin -9.0%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Linda J Welty BUY 10000 shares 2025-08-18
Alice Laberge BUY 2000 shares 2025-08-07

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Advanced MERC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MERC price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for MERC

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