SUZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUZ - Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing one Ordinary Share ) representing one Ordinary Share)
$8.21
-0.33 (-3.86%)
▼
5d:
-7.44%
30d:
-13.76%
90d:
-26.57%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SUZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SUZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.55
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUZ is currently trading at $8.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.68 to $9.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.70 (+54.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.70 (+54.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.50
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 54.7% below Wall St target ($12.70)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.26
Resistance Level
$8.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.62
Wall Street Target
$12.70
(+54.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.9%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.98
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$7.76
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$7.54
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$8.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 2.7%)
$25.75
(+214%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 2.7%)
$8.88
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 2.7%)
$7.55
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$5.42
(-34%)
Analyst growth -42.4%, PE expands to 5.0
Base Case
$4.92
(-40%)
Market implied -42.4%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$5.81
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$8.95
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
