What is the fair value of METC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for METC to be between $13.86 and $16.30. The current price is $14.43.

What is the analyst price target for METC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for METC is $31.19. This implies a potential upside of 116.1% from current levels.

METC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

METC - Ramaco Resources, Inc. Class A Common Stock

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING

$14.43

-1.13 (-7.26%) ▼

5d: +7.13%

30d: -4.69%

90d: -19.34%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 11, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

METC is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 14,741 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: METC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$8.16

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$5.07

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: METC is currently trading at $14.43, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.86 to $16.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 62.0) is in line with its historical norms (63.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, METC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.66, while resistance sits at $15.79. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: METC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.19 (+116.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Fair Price Range $13.86 - $16.30

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 85.7%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.3%)
BULLISH: Trading 116.1% below Wall St target ($31.19)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.86 - $16.30

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.66

Resistance Level $15.79

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 61.96

Wall Street Target $31.19 (+116.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -25.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.0%

Profit Margin -9.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 62.0 vs 63.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $14.29 (-1%)

2-Year Target $14.14 (-2%)

3-Year Target $14.00 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 62→64) $14.44 (+0%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 62.0 to 63.9

Stabilization Target: $14.88 (+3.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.1%

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM

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