MGEE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGEE - MGE Energy Inc
$79.04
-0.84 (-1.05%)
▼
5d:
-0.21%
30d:
+0.79%
90d:
-5.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
20d
Get Alerted When MGEE Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGEE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.13
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.66
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGEE is currently trading at $79.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.21 to $79.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGEE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGEE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $78.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MGEE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$78.21 -
$79.62
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.17)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$78.21 -
$79.62
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.93
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.09
Resistance Level
$80.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.28
Wall Street Target
$80.17
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
19.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 20.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$78.41
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$78.10
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$78.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$106.17
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$96.57
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$82.09
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.69
Bull Case
$92.79
(+17%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$84.35
(+7%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$54.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$79.88
(+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.1%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 7:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MGEE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James G Berbee
BUY
254 shares
2025-09-08
James G Berbee
BUY
507 shares
2025-08-15
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Electric by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
EIX
Edison International |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$67 | 64 BUY |
|
NEE
Nextera Energy Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$93 | 62 BUY |
|
ETR
Entergy Corporation |
BUY
20 analysts |
$105 | 64 BUY |
|
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$87 | 63 BUY |
|
PCG
PG&E Corp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$21 | 59 HOLD |
