MLCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLCO - Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited American Depositary Shares
$6.06
0.01 (0.17%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MLCO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.51
19.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLCO is currently trading at $6.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.24 to $7.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 200% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.28 (+69.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MLCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.28 (+69.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$6.24 -
$7.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.8% below Wall St target ($10.28)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.24 -
$7.59
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.90
Resistance Level
$6.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.87
Wall Street Target
$10.28
(+69.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
200.0%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$5.93
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$5.87
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$6.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 29.5%)
$33.04
(+446%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 29.5%)
$13.14
(+117%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 29.5%)
$11.17
(+85%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$13.82
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.6
Base Case
$12.56
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.2
Bear Case
$4.27
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$6.21
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MLCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MLCO price and gamma walls.
