MOH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOH - Molina Healthcare, Inc.
$139.38
3.56 (2.62%)
▲
5d:
+0.42%
30d:
-7.1%
90d:
-19.68%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
MOH is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-04-17 with 228 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MOH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MOH shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$117.53
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOH is currently trading at $139.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.71 to $150.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $131.20, while resistance sits at $144.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $131.20, while resistance sits at $144.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$137.71 -
$150.07
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($150.65)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.0% growth with 7.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$137.71 -
$150.07
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$131.20
Resistance Level
$144.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.15
Wall Street Target
$150.65
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.4%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 16.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.50
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$177.97
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$201.11
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$139.05
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$157.39
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$134.04
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 4.1%)
$108.82
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.92
Bull Case
$99.21
(-27%)
Analyst growth -35.3%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$90.19
(-33%)
Market implied -35.3%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$94.80
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 03, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
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Advanced MOH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MOH price and gamma walls.
