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MTDR Stock Price Prediction 2026

MATADOR RESOURCES COMPANY

$45.24
+$0.46 (+1.03%)

AI-powered price predictions based on fundamental analysis and growth projections

Last Updated: January 30, 2026
🎯
AI TRADING RECOMMENDATION
Evaluate position
Key Signals:
  • • TTM Squeeze ON for 15 days - volatility compression
  • • Moving averages converging - equilibrium state
  • ✓ MACD bullish crossover - upward momentum
  • • Volume showing distribution (CMF: -0.1519)
  • • Recent pattern: Doji - Indecision pattern
MACD: Bullish | Volume: Distribution
Fair Value Estimate
+0.1% Undervalued
Fair Value: $45.31 (Current: $45.24)

Based on PEG ratio analysis, this stock appears undervalued at current levels. The fair value estimate suggests 0.1% upside potential.

PEG Ratio
0.44
Attractive
Current P/E
11.15
Fair P/E
11.16
Earnings Growth
25.2%
📉

Volume Trend: Distribution

Selling Pressure Present - Distribution pattern observed

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): -0.152
Money Flow Index (MFI): 75.0

Negative CMF indicates money flowing out of the stock. Exercise caution as this may signal distribution.

Options Analysis: 1-Year Target Strategy

Score: 15/100

Analysis comparing options pricing vs AI growth projections. This helps identify if options are cheap (buy calls) or expensive (sell premium).

STRONG SELL SIGNAL - Massively overpriced, excellent premium selling opportunity
Growth Target (1Y)
$47.51
+5.0% upside
Best Strike Found
$50.00
Exp: Jan. 15, 2027, midnight
Call Premium
$5.00
11.1% of stock price
Breakeven Price
$55.00
⚠ Above target
Implied Probability
45.2%
Market's confidence
Value Score
-100.0
Overpriced
💰
STRONG SELL
Options are overpriced - Sell premium opportunity
Seller's Advantage:
Premium Collected
$5.00
Profit if Target Hits
$5.00
ROI if Target Hits
+100.0%
Why This Works: Buyers lose 100.0% even if target hits. Premium is overpriced for 5.0% move.
Suggested Strategies: Covered Call (safest) Naked Call (risky) Credit Spread (defined risk)
Open Interest: 306 | Volume: 2
Data as of: Jan 30, 2026
How to Use This Analysis: Value Score shows profitability if the 1-year growth target is reached. Positive score = profitable for buyers. Negative score = profit opportunity for premium sellers (covered calls, credit spreads).
Price Targets by Timeframe
AI-based growth projections (not Wall Street analyst targets)
Timeframe Target Price Potential Return
30 Days $45.42 +0.4%
90 Days $45.81 +1.3%
6 Months $46.38 +2.5%
1 Year $47.51 +5.0%
2 Years EXTENDED $50.41 +11.4%
3 Years EXTENDED $53.48 +18.2%

More MTDR Analysis

Why is MTDR Moving? Buy or Sell MTDR? MTDR Full Analysis MTDR Trendline Analysis
MTDR Price Prediction Trendline

Scenario Analysis (1-Year Outlook)

Bull Case
30% Probability
$59.39 (+31.3%)

Best case scenario if strong fundamentals and market conditions align

Base Case
50% Probability
$47.51 (+5.0%)

Expected scenario based on current growth trajectory

Bear Case
20% Probability
$33.26 (-26.5%)

Downside scenario if market headwinds or disappointing results

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)
60.9
Neutral
MACD Signal
Bullish
Trend
Uptrend
Money Flow (CMF)
-0.15

Key Fundamentals

P/E Ratio
7.04
Forward P/E
11.15
P/S Ratio (TTM)
1.54x
Undervalued
Revenue Growth (QoQ)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (QoQ)
-0.3%
Market Cap
$5,473M
Analyst Target
$56.63
52-Week High
$45.24
52-Week Low
$44.15
Investment Disclaimer: These price predictions are generated using AI models and historical data. They are not financial advice and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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