MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$140.31
2.03 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+3.25%
30d:
+12.86%
90d:
+21.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
8d
Get Alerted When MTRN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.79
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.16
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $140.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.94 to $144.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.50, while resistance sits at $152.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.50, while resistance sits at $152.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$129.94 -
$144.63
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($151.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$129.94 -
$144.63
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.66
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.50
Resistance Level
$152.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.46
Wall Street Target
$151.33
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.10
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$147.99
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$151.98
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$140.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$214.73
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$213.16
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$181.19
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.16
Bull Case
$169.42
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$140.31
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$107.34
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
N Mohan Reddy
SELL
1155 shares
2025-08-11
Top Rated Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Other Industrial Metals & Mining by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TECK
Teck Resources Ltd Class… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$48 | 65 BUY |
|
VALE
Vale SA ADR |
BUY
25 analysts |
$15 | 66 BUY |
|
RIO
Rio Tinto ADR |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$87 | 66 BUY |
|
WRN
Western Copper and Gold … |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$5 | 50 HOLD |
|
LAC
Lithium Americas Corp |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$6 | 54 HOLD |
