MYFW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MYFW - First Western Financial, Inc.
$24.79
0.29 (1.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.28%
30d:
-1.98%
90d:
-5.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MYFW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 22% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MYFW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 22% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.80
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.54
21.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MYFW is currently trading at $24.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.12 to $25.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYFW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MYFW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYFW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MYFW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+12.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$24.12 -
$25.16
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$24.12 -
$25.16
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.64
Resistance Level
$25.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.97
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.85
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$22.94
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$22.07
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$24.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.9%)
$100.67
(+306%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 21.9%)
$44.90
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 21.9%)
$38.17
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$49.95
(+102%)
Analyst growth 85.6%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$45.41
(+84%)
Market implied 85.6%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$16.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$27.85
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MYFW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott C Mitchell
SELL
915 shares
2026-02-04
David R Duncan
SELL
8626 shares
2026-02-03
David R Duncan
SELL
3668 shares
2026-01-28
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