MYFW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MYFW - First Western Financial, Inc.
$25.15
-0.03 (-0.12%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MYFW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 22% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MYFW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.3% annual earnings decline despite 22% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.79
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.64
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MYFW is currently trading at $25.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.44 to $26.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYFW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.56, while resistance sits at $27.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MYFW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.56, while resistance sits at $27.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+11.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$25.44 -
$26.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.44 -
$26.80
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.56
Resistance Level
$27.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.59
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$22.11
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$20.71
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$25.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.9%)
$100.44
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 21.9%)
$45.61
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 21.9%)
$38.77
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$50.22
(+100%)
Analyst growth 85.6%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$45.65
(+82%)
Market implied 85.6%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$16.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$30.59
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MYFW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott C Wylie
SELL
5000 shares
2025-09-11
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Advanced MYFW Option Strategies
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