NABL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NABL - N-able, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$6.07
-0.08 (-1.30%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026 30d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NABL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.61
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.21
15.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NABL is currently trading at $6.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.68 to $7.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NABL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.65 (+56.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $6.68 - $7.53
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 56.9% below Wall St target ($9.65)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.68 - $7.53
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.02
Resistance Level $7.01
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.55
Wall Street Target $9.65 (+56.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -87.3%
Profit Margin -1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 14.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.83 (-5%)
2-Year Target $5.53 (-10%)
3-Year Target $5.24 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $6.14 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.2%) $17.14 (+179%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 16.2%) $9.65 (+57%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 16.2%) $8.20 (+33%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.7
Stabilization Target: $7.20 (+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael I Adler SELL 31728 shares 2025-08-19
Ann Johnson SELL 34568 shares 2025-08-18

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Advanced NABL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NABL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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