NABL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NABL - N-able, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$4.68
0.08 (1.74%) ▲
5d: -6.96%
30d: +6.36%
90d: -36.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NABL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.44
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.86
20.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NABL is currently trading at $4.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.56 to $4.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NABL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.53, while resistance sits at $5.19.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+59.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $4.56 - $4.96
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.8% below Wall St target ($7.35)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.56 - $4.96
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.53
Resistance Level $5.19
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.35
Wall Street Target $7.35 (+59.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -87.3%
Profit Margin -3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.18 (-9%)
2-Year Target $3.79 (-18%)
3-Year Target $3.44 (-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→13) $4.60 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%) $16.31 (+255%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 14.0%) $6.81 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: 14.0%) $5.79 (+26%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $6.15 (+33.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +33.7%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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