NABL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NABL - N-able, Inc.
$4.64
0.04 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
-7.75%
30d:
+5.45%
90d:
-37.3%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NABL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NABL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.44
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.86
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NABL is currently trading at $4.64, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.56 to $4.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NABL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+59.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NABL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.35 (+59.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$4.56 -
$4.96
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.8% below Wall St target ($7.35)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.56 -
$4.96
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.53
Resistance Level
$5.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.35
Wall Street Target
$7.35
(+59.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.3%
Profit Margin
-3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.18
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$3.79
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$3.44
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$4.60
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.0%)
$16.31
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$6.81
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$5.79
(+26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.15
(+33.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NABL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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