NBBK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NBBK - NB Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock

SAVINGS INSTITUTIONS, NOT FEDERALLY CHARTERED
$21.72
0.27 (1.26%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NBBK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.64
31.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NBBK is currently trading at $21.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.75 to $20.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NBBK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NBBK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $19.75 - $20.72
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $19.75 - $20.72
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.49
Resistance Level $21.78
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.17
Wall Street Target $22.50 (+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 43.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.5%
Profit Margin 30.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.2 vs 12.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.10 (-6%)
2-Year Target $18.83 (-12%)
3-Year Target $17.65 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→12) $21.52 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 27.9%) $98.40 (+359%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 27.9%) $44.86 (+109%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: 27.9%) $38.13 (+78%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.33
Bull Case $36.66 (+71%)
Analyst growth 58.6%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case $33.33 (+55%)
Market implied 58.6%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case $14.29 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 12.4
Stabilization Target: $26.16 (+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NBBK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NBBK price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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