NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$39.88
-0.13 (-0.32%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NCSM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NCSM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.50
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.56
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $39.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.81 to $40.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.64, while resistance sits at $41.55.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.64, while resistance sits at $41.55.
Market Sentiment: NCSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.08 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$38.81 -
$40.36
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($56.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.81 -
$40.36
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.64
Resistance Level
$41.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.01
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.4%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.29
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$40.57
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$40.86
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$148.37
(+271%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$59.95
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$50.96
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.56
Bull Case
$43.12
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$39.20
(-2%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$27.38
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Valerie A Mitchell
SELL
1969 shares
2025-08-05
Valerie A Mitchell
SELL
548 shares
2025-08-04
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