NCSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCSM - NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc.
$60.65
0.44 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
-14.29%
30d:
+52.96%
90d:
+53.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NCSM is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NCSM is down 14.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.49
Based on -28.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCSM is currently trading at $60.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.54 to $70.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.24, while resistance sits at $75.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCSM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $58.24, while resistance sits at $75.57.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$45.54 -
$70.61
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($56.08)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.2% growth expectation is conservative given 302% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.54 -
$70.61
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.24
Resistance Level
$75.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.56
Wall Street Target
$56.08
(-7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
301.9%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.62
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$71.00
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$76.83
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$60.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -61.7%)
$97.52
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: -61.7%)
$59.53
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -61.7%)
$46.94
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.65
Bull Case
$41.95
(-40%)
Analyst growth -44.2%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$38.14
(-45%)
Market implied -44.2%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$46.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Nipper
SELL
1000 shares
2025-11-05
Robert Nipper
SELL
3147 shares
2025-11-03
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