NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NE - Noble Corporation plc

DRILLING OIL & GAS WELLS
$35.62
-0.39 (-1.08%) β–Ό
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 16, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: NE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.38
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $35.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.62 to $34.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.8) compared to its historical average (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.13, while resistance sits at $36.76.

Market Sentiment: NE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $28.62 - $34.03
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with -0.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $28.62 - $34.03
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.13
Resistance Level $36.76
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.76
Wall Street Target $34.50 (-4.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -79.9%
Profit Margin 6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.7% premium
PE vs Historical 30.8 vs 26.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.70 (+5%)
2-Year Target $39.47 (+10%)
3-Year Target $41.33 (+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31β†’27) PE COMPRESSION $36.00 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.8, Growth: 53.5%) $121.53 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 53.5%) $88.09 (+145%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 53.5%) $74.88 (+108%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case $32.07 (-10%)
Analyst growth -15.8%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case $29.15 (-18%)
Market implied -15.8%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case $23.54 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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