NE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NE - Noble Corporation plc
$48.94
0.05 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-1.7%
30d:
+6.43%
90d:
+72.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
Smart Money Distribution
NE is up 6.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $27.5 2026-06-18 with 127 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.51
32.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NE is currently trading at $48.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.02 to $48.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.4) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.76, while resistance sits at $50.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.20. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.76, while resistance sits at $50.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $42.20. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$45.02 -
$48.34
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.7% above Wall St target ($42.20)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$45.02 -
$48.34
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.76
Resistance Level
$50.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.38
Wall Street Target
$42.20
(-13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.4 vs 25.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.47
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$42.28
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$39.33
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$49.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 112.4%)
$180.94
(+270%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 112.4%)
$165.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 112.4%)
$140.25
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$91.30
(+91%)
Analyst growth 77.7%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$83.00
(+73%)
Market implied 77.7%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$31.76
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.4 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$60.93
(+24.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles M Sledge
SELL
2083 shares
2026-02-19
Richard B Barker
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-19
Blake Denton
SELL
23255 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced NE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NE price and gamma walls.
