SDRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SDRL - Seadrill Limited
$52.70
1.33 (2.59%)
▲
5d:
+9.06%
30d:
+11.58%
90d:
+23.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
10d
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1 traders called SDRL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SDRL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.28
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.73
39.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SDRL is currently trading at $52.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.90 to $50.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SDRL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $51.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SDRL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.90 -
$50.05
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.90 -
$50.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.78
Resistance Level
$51.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.89
Wall Street Target
$56.43
(+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Profit Margin
-5.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$42.69
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$38.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→21)
$52.89
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 366.3%)
$263.61
(+400%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 366.3%)
$177.86
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 366.3%)
$151.18
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$72.55
(+37.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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