NEXA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEXA - Nexa Resources S.A. Common Shares
$12.61
-1.25 (-9.02%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEXA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NEXA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.36
17.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEXA is currently trading at $12.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.08 to $12.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.50, while resistance sits at $14.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEXA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.84. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.50, while resistance sits at $14.94. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEXA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.84. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$9.08 -
$12.98
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NEXA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 36.2% above Wall St target ($8.84)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.08 -
$12.98
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.50
Resistance Level
$14.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.97
Wall Street Target
$8.84
(-36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
-0.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.26
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$14.68
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$15.10
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 68.4%)
$130.96
(+845%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 68.4%)
$46.78
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 68.4%)
$39.76
(+187%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEXA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NEXA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEXA price and gamma walls.
