NGG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGG - National Grid PLC
$85.27
0.20 (0.24%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$124.48
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGG is currently trading at $85.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.47 to $82.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$77.47 -
$82.33
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
NGG is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$77.47 -
$82.33
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$85.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.33
Wall Street Target
$80.83
(-5.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.60
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$88.16
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$89.75
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.2%)
$197.19
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 14.2%)
$126.69
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 14.2%)
$107.69
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.12
Bull Case
$134.24
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.1%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$122.04
(+43%)
Market implied 44.1%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$57.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NGG price and gamma walls.
