NI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NI - NiSource Inc.
$44.29
-0.36 (-0.81%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NI is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.17
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NI is currently trading at $44.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.68 to $43.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$41.68 -
$43.82
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.58)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$41.68 -
$43.82
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.91
Resistance Level
$44.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.82
Wall Street Target
$46.58
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.50
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$46.36
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$47.24
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.59
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.6%)
$58.41
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.6%)
$57.16
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 8.6%)
$48.59
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$52.51
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$47.73
(+8%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$30.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NI price and gamma walls.
