NIU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NIU - Niu Technologies American Depositary Shares

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
$3.31
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 16, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NIU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.74
11.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NIU is currently trading at $3.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.09 to $3.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 2.2) is in line with its historical norms (2.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NIU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.99, while resistance sits at $3.44.

Market Sentiment: NIU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+42.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $3.09 - $3.33
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 42.0% below Wall St target ($4.70)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 65.4% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.09 - $3.33
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.34 (10.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.99
Resistance Level $3.44
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.25
Wall Street Target $4.70 (+42.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 65.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.7%
Profit Margin -0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 2.3 vs 2.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.36 (+2%)
2-Year Target $3.42 (+3%)
3-Year Target $3.47 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2→2) PE COMPRESSION $3.24 (-2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 84.3%) $110.71 (+3245%)
Base: (SPY PE: 2.3, Growth: 84.3%) $11.17 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 1.9, Growth: 84.3%) $9.50 (+187%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced NIU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NIU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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